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NASA will say goodbye to the International Space Station in 2030 – and welcome in the age of commercial space stations







I’m an aerospace engineer who has helped build a range of hardware and experiments for the ISS. As a member of the spaceflight community for over 30 years and a 17-year member of the NASA community, it will be hard for me to see the ISS come to an end.
Since the first pieces of the International Space Station were launched in 1998, the station has been home to significant research accomplishments across domains that include materials science, biotechnology, astronomy and astrophysics, Earth science, combustion and more.
Astronauts performing research inside the space station and payload experiments attached to the station’s exterior have generated many publications in peer-reviewed science journals. Some of them have advanced our understanding of thunderstorms, led to improvements in the crystallization processes of key cancer-fighting drugs, detailed how to grow artificial retinas in space, explored the processing of ultrapure optical fibers and explained how to sequence DNA in orbit.
In total, more than 4,000 experiments have been conducted aboard the ISS, resulting in more than 4,400 research publications dedicated to advancing and improving life on Earth and helping forge a path for future space exploration activities.
The ISS has proven the value of conducting research in the unique environment of spaceflight – which has very low gravity, a vacuum, extreme temperature cycles and radiation – to advance scientists’ understanding of a wide range of important physical, chemical and biological processes.

Keeping a presence in orbit

But in the wake of the station’s retirement, NASA and its international partners are not abandoning their outpost in low-Earth orbit. Instead, they are looking for alternatives to continue to take advantage of low Earth orbit’s promise as a unique research laboratory and to extend the continuous, 25-year human presence some 250 miles (402 kilometers) above the Earth’s surface.
In December 2021, NASA announced three awards to help develop privately owned, commercially operated space stations in low-Earth orbit.
For years, NASA has successfully sent supplies to the International Space Station using commercial partners, and the agency recently began similar business arrangements with SpaceX and Boeing for transporting crew aboard the Dragon and Starliner spacecraft, respectively.
Based on the success of these programs, NASA invested more than US$400 million to stimulate the development of commercial space stations and hopefully launch and activate them before the ISS is decommissioned.

Dawn of commercial space stations

In September 2025, NASA issued a draft announcement for Phase 2 partnership proposals for commercial space stations. Companies that are selected will receive funding to support critical design reviews and demonstrate stations with four people in orbit for at least 30 days.
NASA will then move forward with formal design acceptance and certification to ensure that these stations meet NASA’s stringent safety requirements. The outcome will allow NASA to purchase missions and other services aboard these stations on a commercial basis – similar to how NASA gets cargo and crew to the ISS today.
Which of these teams will be successful, and on what timescale, remains to be seen.
While these stations are being built, Chinese astronauts will continue to live and work aboard their Tiangong space station, a three-person, permanently crewed facility orbiting approximately 250 miles (402 km) above the Earth’s surface. Consequently, if the ISS’s occupied streak comes to an end, China and Tiangong will take over as the longest continually inhabited space station in operation: It’s been occupied for approximately four years and counting.

In the meantime, enjoy the view

It will be several years before any of these new commercial space stations circle the Earth at around 17,500 miles per hour (28,000 kilometers per hour) and several years before the ISS is deorbited in 2030.
So while you have a chance, take a look up and enjoy the view. On most nights when the ISS flies over, it is simply magnificent: a brilliant blue-white point of light, usually the brightest object in the sky, silently executing a graceful arc across the sky.
Our ancestors could hardly have imagined that one day, one of the brightest objects in the night sky would have been conceived by the human mind and built by human hands.
(To read the Chinese version of this article, please click: 〈NASA將於2030年告別國際太空站,並迎來商業太空站時代〉)
*This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

About The Conversation

The Conversation was founded in Melbourne, Australia in 2011. It is a unique collaboration between academics and journalists that in a decade has become the world’s leading publisher of research-based news and analysis.
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誰幫我們完成這篇文章

約翰.M.霍拉克(John M. Horack)
約翰.M.霍拉克(John M. Horack)
作者
美國俄亥俄州立大學機械與航太工程學系教授。Professor of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, The Ohio State University
鄭涵文
鄭涵文
設計
設計師。曾任記者寫很多字,現下更專心畫畫。平生無大志,喜用圖像化繁為簡、嘰嘰喳喳說故事。成就感來自觀者看圖後的會心一笑。
王崴漢
王崴漢
責任編輯
《少年報導者》記者、攝影師。政治大學新聞學系畢業,以前喜歡做廣播,現在更常背著相機。沒有改變的是我對聽故事還有說故事的熱忱,以及追求友善社會的初衷。

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